The Programme

Part I: Risk Analysis and Early Warning

The Risk Analysis and Early Warning section will provide an introduction to the scope and nature of diverse forms of risk and fundamental uncertainty. Participants will be taught by leading practitioners and international experts how to classify, analyze and predict political risk, violent conflicts, and natural disasters. Participants will be introduced to the most modern IT tools for open source intelligence and to the main methods for early warning and monitoring global crises. Practical skills also include fundamental training on selection bias, on gathering data in crisis situations and writing succinct and effective analyses. The final module will provide an integrated training session and simulation during which participants will be required to apply their knowledge to the full early warning and information gathering cycle while under stress.

Module 1

Understanding Risks, Grasping Uncertainty: 5-6 October, 2018

Module 2

Analysing Risks, Preparing for Uncertainty: 19-20 October, 2018

Module 3

Open Source Intelligence: Tools and Techniques: 23-24 November, 2018

Module ,4

A New Information Environment: Media, Conflict and Crisis Communication:  14-15 December, 2018

Module 5

Global Crisis Monitoring, Conflict Analysis & Early Warning: 25-26 January, 2019

Part II: Crisis Management and Crisis Response

The Crisis Management and Crisis Response section will introduce participants to the main actors, approaches, best practices and lessons learned of crisis management and the responses to man-made and natural disasters. Course participants will be taught by senior officials from major international organizations, international security scholars and experienced humanitarian actors engaged in crisis management. Particular emphasis will be placed on understanding the right mix between political and “on-the-ground” approaches to managing crises. Modules on the role of the media in conflicts and on the flow and control of information are combined with training sessions on crisis communication. A module on “Coping with Realities on the Ground” involves key insights and preparatory training given by senior humanitarians from the field. Module 10 will provide a final weekend session, integrating (in a critical perspective) the main “best practices” and “lessons learned” from global risk analysis and crisis management efforts. It will also include a session on the main contemporary debates, issues and future challenges for crisis management and response.

Module 6

Understanding the Crisis Cycle and Complex Crises: 22-23 February, 2019

Module 7

Understanding the Main Actors in Crisis Response: 22-23 March, 2019

Module 8

Political, Humanitarian and Military Approaches:  Towards a Comprehensive Approach?: 26-27 April, 2019

Module 9

Preparing for the Field: Facing Reality on the Ground: 24-25 May, 2019

Module 10

Core Debates, Lessons Learned, Best Practices and Future Challenges: 07-08 June, 2019

Weekend modules start Fridays between 17.30 – 20.00 either with a senior policy-maker roundtable and discussion or senior expert lecture. 

The Saturday Training Sessions run from 10.00 until 18.00 (in some cases 19.00, depending on the topic)

*Dates mentioned above are subject to change.